ptui!
Now hold on, I'm gonna press the right pedal harder. I expect us to accelerate.
Anya ,'Showtime'
Natter 58: Let's call Venezuela!
Off-topic discussion. Wanna talk about corsets, duct tape, or physics? This is the place. Detailed discussion of any current-season TV must be whitefonted.
Laga - Apr 08, 2008 9:09:44 am PDT #282 of 10001
You should know I'm a big deal in the Resistance.
msbelle - Apr 08, 2008 9:11:22 am PDT #283 of 10001
I remember the crazy days. 500 posts an hour. Nubmer! Natgbsb
Also Foley's (in some cases the old Stripling Cox's).
lisah - Apr 08, 2008 9:11:38 am PDT #284 of 10001
Punishingly Intricate
The NYTimes has an online "Let's Make a Deal" game to illustrate what's called "The Monty Hall Problem."
That's the kind of thing that can be explained to me a million times in a million different ways and I just won't understand. My brain is broken.
tiggy - Apr 08, 2008 9:12:34 am PDT #285 of 10001
I do believe in killing the messenger, you know why? Because it sends a message. ~ Damon Salvatore
I got woefully behind in the previous Natter and always feel guilty for skimming. so i'm just going to jump into the new thread(which i've read). so umm...HI!!
life is kinda funny sometimes. i'm kinda low on cashflow until payday on the 15 and was imagining many days of having to eat cheese crackers for lunch, but the past two days i've gotten free lunch! score!! it probably won't happen again now that i've mentioned it...
Laga - Apr 08, 2008 9:14:14 am PDT #286 of 10001
You should know I'm a big deal in the Resistance.
lisah- if you're ever going to get it, that link is the place to go. It's interactive!
lisah - Apr 08, 2008 9:16:48 am PDT #287 of 10001
Punishingly Intricate
if you're ever going to get it, that link is the place to go. It's interactive!
Nope! I read through the explanation and ... nada. Doesn't make sense.
shrift - Apr 08, 2008 9:17:38 am PDT #288 of 10001
"You can't put a price on the joy of not giving a shit." -Zenkitty
I knew that Macy's was already made of fail, but not carrying stuff because Chicago is too midwestern? Oh, please.
See if Zappos has them. Zappos doesn't care if you live in the midwest.
I had to go digging around Zappos to find the exact ones I wanted to try on, but there they are, so go team Zappos.
Polter-Cow - Apr 08, 2008 9:18:19 am PDT #289 of 10001
What else besides ramen can you scoop? YOU CAN SCOOP THIS WORLD FROM DARKNESS!
That's the kind of thing that can be explained to me a million times in a million different ways and I just won't understand. My brain is broken.
I think this is actually the first time I've really gotten it. Because it really is counterintuitive. You think the important decision is whether or not to switch, but it's not. It's your initial choice that determines the outcome.
Think about it this way: there are two goats and one car. Statistically speaking, you are more likely to pick a goat, right?
Well, if Monty opens a door to reveal a goat...statistically speaking, if you picked a goat, the remaining door MUST HAVE A CAR. Thus, you always switch. The only time you would lose is if you picked the car in the first place, and that only happens 33.3% of the time.
lisah - Apr 08, 2008 9:21:24 am PDT #290 of 10001
Punishingly Intricate
It's your initial choice that determines the outcome.
Well, no, I get that. of course. But you don't know what you've picked!
ah nevermind
It's seriously something I have a block about and I'm going to have to live with my stupidity!
Polter-Cow - Apr 08, 2008 9:26:04 am PDT #291 of 10001
What else besides ramen can you scoop? YOU CAN SCOOP THIS WORLD FROM DARKNESS!
But you don't know what you've picked!
You don't, that's right. But you know there is a higher probability that you picked a goat. Since there are two goats, the fact that Monty shows you a goat shouldn't really affect your impression of what you picked. He could do that no matter what you picked.