It's your initial choice that determines the outcome.
Well, no, I get that. of course. But you don't know what you've picked!
ah nevermind
It's seriously something I have a block about and I'm going to have to live with my stupidity!
Off-topic discussion. Wanna talk about corsets, duct tape, or physics? This is the place. Detailed discussion of any current-season TV must be whitefonted.
It's your initial choice that determines the outcome.
Well, no, I get that. of course. But you don't know what you've picked!
ah nevermind
It's seriously something I have a block about and I'm going to have to live with my stupidity!
But you don't know what you've picked!
You don't, that's right. But you know there is a higher probability that you picked a goat. Since there are two goats, the fact that Monty shows you a goat shouldn't really affect your impression of what you picked. He could do that no matter what you picked.
that only happens 33.3% of the time.
I only picked it once out of 12 tries.
Lies, damned lies, and statistics.
I think I get the idea, but if I remember Let's Make a Deal, the problem needs a new name. Because Monty didn't give you the choice of a car, a goat, or a goat. It was more like, a car, a decent cash prize that isn't enough to buy a car, and a goat. So once Monty shows you the goat, you know you have at least some cash.
Or am I being quibbly today?
It was more like, a car, a decent cash prize that isn't enough to buy a car, and a goat. So once Monty shows you the goat, you know you have at least some cash.
Unless the goat has eaten the cash....
I didn't try the game. Is what Monty shows you selected at random, or does he pick something to try to trip you up?
Is what Monty shows you selected at random, or does he pick something to try to trip you up
There are two goats and a car. He always shows you a goat.
It was more like, a car, a decent cash prize that isn't enough to buy a car, and a goat. So once Monty shows you the goat, you know you have at least some cash.
I don't think it changes anything, because you're still more likely to have chosen the non-car.
There are two goats and a car. He always shows you a goat.
Oh. OK.
Is that the way it works on the actual TV game show too? (since they have only one goat...)
But, on the show, there aren't two goats, right? I am so confused.