Congratulations to sarameg's Dr. Bro.!

Happy New Year to Jewistas!

Good Yontiff for all!

The sun isn't up yet. I suppose I should get used to this at this time of year, but FEH.

Happy new year! [link]

They're a wryly witty people.

Awwwww.

At home. Nilly, if you'll see this, happy new year and health~ma to your mom and getting-everything-in-time-for-holiday~ma to you.

Happy New Year!

Can I just say "Jewistas" cracked my shit UP?! In a good way.

They're a wryly witty people.

Indeed-- my friend Eileen, when explaining her utter lack of sense of direction, will look at you with these huge blue eyes and say, "But it's hereditary. Think about it. Forty years-- very small desert."

Man, I'm tired. I had probably the worst night of sleep ever -- wide awake at 4:30, which never happens to me. Then to work early because there's a big meeting that I'm not a part of. And I didn't do any work over the weekend like I meant to, so I'm already behind.

Good times.

Man, I'm tired.

Me too. Why am I here? I should be sleeping....

ION, The disappearing Bradley effect

A hot topic among polling nerds is the “Bradley effect,” which occurs when a non-white (usually black) candidate falls short of opinion polls on Election Day when he/she runs against a white candidate. For this reason it has been suggested that support for Obama might be overstated - a hidden bonus for John McCain. Now comes a large-scale empirical study (in preprint form) by Harvard political scientist Dan Hopkins. He finds that since the mid-1990s, the Bradley effect has disappeared. His paper is a must-read.

...

Polls did show a significant Bradley/Wilder effect through the early 1990s, which includes the period when Bradley and Wilder were running for office. However, Hopkins notes that the effect then went away in races from 1996 onward. To quote the study: “Before 1996, the median gap for black candidates was 3.1 percentage points, while for subsequent years it was -0.3 percentage points.”

This is pretty funny:

McCain camp prays for Palin wedding

In an election campaign notable for its surprises, Sarah Palin, the Republican vice- presidential candidate, may be about to spring a new one — the wedding of her pregnant teenage daughter to her ice-hockey-playing fiancé before the November 4 election.

Inside John McCain’s campaign the expectation is growing that there will be a popularity boosting pre-election wedding in Alaska between Bristol Palin, 17, and Levi Johnston, 18, her schoolmate and father of her baby. “It would be fantastic,” said a McCain insider. “You would have every TV camera there. The entire country would be watching. It would shut down the race for a week.”

Um... where to begin....

[link] "how mcCain wins"

[link] Fareed Zakaria - "Palin is ready? Please."

IONonCampaignN, Jermaine Dupri Vomits On Janet Jackson