FWIW, I got my financial advisor's Election Scenarios newsletter. This is not put together by him personally but UBS (Swiss Bank).

It's weird seeing things in print like "A blue wave would be the worst case scenario for equity markets..."

So this is definitely Advisors to the King speaking directly to the Wealthy Fuckers.

Their listed probabilities are:

Blue Wave: 5%

Harris wins with divided Congress: 45%

Red Wave: 35%

Trump wins with divided Congress: 15%

I wonder if they had a Blue Wave in 2020 at such low probability. They must have because nobody expected the Dems to get two senators out of Georgia.

I don't think a Red Wave is that probable, but they think that's much more likely than Trump winning with a divided congress.

So my bellweather now is just going to be whether we get shitty numbers from Michigan and Wisconsin early on as happened in 2016.

If we're holding steady there, then Trump won't get a Red Wave and then the Harris with Divided Congress scenario is three times more likely than Trump with Divided Congress.

Who knows what is going on under the hood in their analysis, but this is what Billionaires are paying for.

A lot of analysts have Harris winning a squeaker, but I think she will do as well as Biden and maybe better if she gets NC.

How's everyone doing so far?

Pretty anxious.

A new baby hippo just dropped!

Haggis

Baby hippo!

I’ve had therapy and am now watching GBBS. I’d be up for an accountability cleaning or task afternoon session if anyone wants to join.

I also need to run yo the pet store and grocery. I’m going to try to sneak in an hour nap also as I assume I’ll be up to at least midnight.

Voted.

About a dozen in line ahead of me. Took about five minutes to get to the table. By the time I received my ballot, there were about a dozen in line behind me. So, pretty steady flow, not much delay. No parking issues.

The tally machine said my ballot was #515 out of an anticipated 1500.

How's everyone doing so far?

::twitching::

This is not so good for my blood pressure.

Trying to distract myself with PBS Passport on the tablet. Current threat level: pangolin.

Periods of concentration achieved, but my distract-o-meter is very active today. Got to the grocery store and vet to pick up an Rx this morning. Work work is proving elusive at the moment...

Having a frustrating day getting things to work at work and I got stressed out enough that I broke my bike-chain fidget toy. I was able to repair the broken links though.