I'm alternating between nauseously optimistic and optimistically nauseous. I'm not sure which is better.
My Tuesday night plans center around sleep aids.
Damn it! You know what? I'm sick of this crap. I'm sick of being the guy who eats insects and gets the funny syphilis. As of this moment, it's over. I'm finished being everybody's butt monkey!
Xander ,'Lessons'
Natter 78: I might need to watch some Buffy for inspiration
Off-topic discussion. Wanna talk about corsets, duct tape, butt kicking, or physics? This is the place. Detailed discussion of any current-season TV must be whitefonted.
Theodosia - Nov 04, 2024 4:58:02 pm PST #3225 of 3491
'we all walk this earth feeling we are frauds. The trick is to be grateful and hope the caper doesn't end any time soon"
DavidS - Nov 04, 2024 5:17:24 pm PST #3226 of 3491
"Look, son, if it's good enough for Shirley Bassey, it's good enough for you."
FWIW, I got my financial advisor's Election Scenarios newsletter. This is not put together by him personally but UBS (Swiss Bank).
It's weird seeing things in print like "A blue wave would be the worst case scenario for equity markets..."
So this is definitely Advisors to the King speaking directly to the Wealthy Fuckers.
Their listed probabilities are:
Blue Wave: 5%
Harris wins with divided Congress: 45%
Red Wave: 35%
Trump wins with divided Congress: 15%
I wonder if they had a Blue Wave in 2020 at such low probability. They must have because nobody expected the Dems to get two senators out of Georgia.
I don't think a Red Wave is that probable, but they think that's much more likely than Trump winning with a divided congress.
So my bellweather now is just going to be whether we get shitty numbers from Michigan and Wisconsin early on as happened in 2016.
If we're holding steady there, then Trump won't get a Red Wave and then the Harris with Divided Congress scenario is three times more likely than Trump with Divided Congress.
Who knows what is going on under the hood in their analysis, but this is what Billionaires are paying for.
A lot of analysts have Harris winning a squeaker, but I think she will do as well as Biden and maybe better if she gets NC.
Jessica - Nov 05, 2024 7:22:32 am PST #3227 of 3491
If I want to become a cloud of bats, does each bat need a separate vaccination?
How's everyone doing so far?
Gudanov - Nov 05, 2024 7:36:27 am PST #3228 of 3491
Coding and Sleeping
Pretty anxious.
Tom Scola - Nov 05, 2024 8:01:02 am PST #3229 of 3491
Mr. Scola’s wardrobe by Botany 500
Steph L. - Nov 05, 2024 8:02:51 am PST #3230 of 3491
the hardest to learn / was the least complicated
Baby hippo!
msbelle - Nov 05, 2024 9:12:08 am PST #3231 of 3491
I remember the crazy days. 500 posts an hour. Nubmer! Natgbsb
I’ve had therapy and am now watching GBBS. I’d be up for an accountability cleaning or task afternoon session if anyone wants to join.
I also need to run yo the pet store and grocery. I’m going to try to sneak in an hour nap also as I assume I’ll be up to at least midnight.
dcp - Nov 05, 2024 9:35:19 am PST #3232 of 3491
The more I learn, the more I realize how little I know.
Voted.
About a dozen in line ahead of me. Took about five minutes to get to the table. By the time I received my ballot, there were about a dozen in line behind me. So, pretty steady flow, not much delay. No parking issues.
The tally machine said my ballot was #515 out of an anticipated 1500.
Cass - Nov 05, 2024 9:56:24 am PST #3233 of 3491
Bob's learned to live with tragedy, but he knows that this tragedy is one that won't ever leave him or get better.
How's everyone doing so far?
::twitching::
This is not so good for my blood pressure.
Trying to distract myself with PBS Passport on the tablet. Current threat level: pangolin.
JenP - Nov 05, 2024 10:02:29 am PST #3234 of 3491
Periods of concentration achieved, but my distract-o-meter is very active today. Got to the grocery store and vet to pick up an Rx this morning. Work work is proving elusive at the moment...