I am a zombie. A migrained-for-a-week at-the-ER-again zombie.
Damn, that sucks, ita.
Angel's lame. His hair goes straight up, and he's bloody stupid!
Buffybot ,'Dirty Girls'
Natter 63: Life after PuppyCam
Off-topic discussion. Wanna talk about corsets, duct tape, or physics? This is the place. Detailed discussion of any current-season TV must be whitefonted.
tommyrot - Mar 16, 2009 11:10:06 am PDT #10930 of 30000
Sir, it's not an offence to let your cat eat your bacon. Okay? And we don't arrest cats, I'm very sorry.
Atropa - Mar 16, 2009 11:16:13 am PDT #10931 of 30000
The artist formerly associated with cupcakes.
I'm on it. I believe Jilli has a plan in place for Seattle, but that assumes she hasn't been minionized by Clovis.
Clovis says his zombie army is still offline, so these aren't *our* zombies.
Somebody tell me to stop searching for b&w stripy blazers.
Burrell - Mar 16, 2009 11:17:21 am PDT #10932 of 30000
Why did Darth Vader cross the road? To get to the Dark Side!
I get that, but I don't get why that supports switching your choice from the first door you picked.
That is my question as well. Am going to investigate the interactive version to see if I can figure out the answer.
sumi - Mar 16, 2009 11:19:45 am PDT #10933 of 30000
Art Crawl!!!
Obama is going to be on the Tonight Show on Thursday.
sumi - Mar 16, 2009 11:22:30 am PDT #10934 of 30000
Art Crawl!!!
New treatment for peanut allergy.
aurelia - Mar 16, 2009 11:31:32 am PDT #10935 of 30000
All sorrows can be borne if you put them into a story. Tell me a story.
Interactive version of The Monty Hall Problem.
So the idea is to presume that your first pick will always be a goat. Which should be true 2 out of every 3 times.
sarameg - Mar 16, 2009 11:27:29 am PDT #10936 of 30000
I'm sorry, ita.
My fac guy is giving me some boxes, including xerox ones and it turns out he has a moving/handyman business on the side and has moved a lot of my coworkers. I'll definitely get a quote from him.
Dana - Mar 16, 2009 11:27:38 am PDT #10937 of 30000
I haven't trusted science since I saw the film "Flubber."
I don't get why that supports switching your choice from the first door you picked.
It's the fact that Monty Hall will always open a door with a goat behind it, not a random door.
If your strategy is to always switch doors, you will lose only if your initial choice is the door with the car, which is a 33.3 percent chance. In the other two cases (66.7 percent of the time) you will switch to the car and walk away a winner.
Rick - Mar 16, 2009 11:30:13 am PDT #10938 of 30000
I get that, but I don't get why that supports switching your choice from the first door you picked.
I think it is easiest to imagine a modified problem where there are 1000 doors. You pick one at random. Now Monty opens 998 doors, leaving the one you picked and one other. Do you stay with your door, chosen when the chance of being correct was 1/1000 or do you choose the other door, chosen when the chance of being correct was 1/2?
The three door version is the same thing, but less extreme.
aurelia - Mar 16, 2009 11:35:34 am PDT #10939 of 30000
All sorrows can be borne if you put them into a story. Tell me a story.
I don't think 1/2 ever enters into it, Rick. The chances are weighted toward picking the wrong door to begin with. When the other losing doors are revealed, the chances are that the remaining door is the winner.