You guys, can I just say, I look at the pie charts on [link] and I get a little giddy thinking that Barack Obama could actually be president. It's just so crazy!!
Angel: Connor, this is Spike and Illyria. Guys, this is Connor. Connor: Hi. umm...I like your outfit. Illyria: Your body warms. This one is lusting after me. Connor: Oh...no, I--I--it's just that it's the outfit. I guess I've had a thing for older women. Angel: They were supposed to fix that.
'Origin'
Natter 61*
Off-topic discussion. Wanna talk about corsets, duct tape, or physics? This is the place. Detailed discussion of any current-season TV must be whitefonted.
Jesse - Oct 08, 2008 9:41:50 am PDT #3379 of 10001
Sometimes I trip on how happy we could be.
amych - Oct 08, 2008 9:43:34 am PDT #3380 of 10001
Now let us crush something soft and watch it fountain blood. That is a girlish thing to want to do, yes?
I love those pie charts almost as much as actual pie.
lisah - Oct 08, 2008 9:47:27 am PDT #3381 of 10001
Punishingly Intricate
Oh, thanks Jesse! I keep forgetting what that site is and I like to look at it for the happy making.
Steph L. - Oct 08, 2008 9:57:57 am PDT #3382 of 10001
I look more rad than Lutheranism
I look at the pie charts on [link]
I wish I understood what some of the map graphics mean. I've pked around the site, but I can't find an explanation for what the maps called "Tipping Point States" and "Return on Investment Index" mean. If anyone can shed some light, I'd be grateful.
Also, the pie charts' relationships to each other confuse me -- what's the difference between "Win Percentage" and "Popular Vote"?
erikaj - Oct 08, 2008 10:00:36 am PDT #3383 of 10001
Always Anti-fascist!
I saw Nate Silver on Colbert yesterday, and he said "Win Percentage" is the likelihood that Obama would win.
Jesse - Oct 08, 2008 10:01:01 am PDT #3384 of 10001
Sometimes I trip on how happy we could be.
I believe "Win Percentage" is the odds that he'll actually take it. Not being a stat-head, I haven't looked that hard into all the methodologies and charts and etc., because I also like the blogging.
amych - Oct 08, 2008 10:01:20 am PDT #3385 of 10001
Now let us crush something soft and watch it fountain blood. That is a girlish thing to want to do, yes?
"Tipping Point States"
Probability that that will be the state that decides it all.
"Return on Investment Index"
States where investment in advertising/campaigning will have the most bang for the buck.
Win percentage is the probability that a candidate will win. Popular vote is what the average of the polls currently says -- like when some poll says "Obama's leading 52-46", only with multiple polls counted in the result (in other words, they're not saying that Obama is going to get 89% of the vote).
There's a lot in the FAQ, but I found it easiest to grok the site by following it for a few days and seeing how things changed as new results came in; there's a "today's polls" post every day that explains the new results and the effects they're having.
erikaj - Oct 08, 2008 10:02:30 am PDT #3386 of 10001
Always Anti-fascist!
wrod. Mr. Silver has been quite the unlikely TV star lately.
P.M. Marc - Oct 08, 2008 10:03:38 am PDT #3387 of 10001
So come, my friends, be not afraid/We are so lightly here/It is in love that we are made; In love we disappear
My midwife even said, "I have people turn up pregnant at their 6-week postpartum checkup all the time.
Ha! My OB said the same thing.
Which, like JZ, and several other moms here, sex was the absolute last thing on my mind when Em was 4 weeks old.
Dude. Yeah. I mean, after the 6 week appointment, there were a few times, but frankly, I wasn't that into it, and was mostly just feeling kind of like I should after spending most of my time expecting on pelvic rest. I don't think I had anything like a libido until well after the introduction of solids.
amych - Oct 08, 2008 10:04:27 am PDT #3388 of 10001
Now let us crush something soft and watch it fountain blood. That is a girlish thing to want to do, yes?
Mr. Silver has been quite the unlikely TV star lately.
Quite unlikely. I can't decide whether to have a hopeless geek crush or find him kind of watch-from-the-hall. Not that he's done anything painful or embarrasing, but that I kind of want to say, "umm, yes, we geeks really are that geeky. Please don't put us in a locker."