Hah i may need to send that link to a few of my colleagues as well. Sadly I have a bunch of important meetings Thursdays that I have to do the research and agendas for on Wednesday so I can’t completely shut down. But I do not think I’ll be getting 8 hours in.
Natter 78: I might need to watch some Buffy for inspiration
Off-topic discussion. Wanna talk about corsets, duct tape, butt kicking, or physics? This is the place. Detailed discussion of any current-season TV must be whitefonted.
I'm mindfully trying to let go of trying to predict. I'm going more and more into news blackout mode to preserve my ability to function.
I’m trying not to be superstitious and trying to remember that my anxiety isn’t going to change anything. And that I’m not going to jinx anything by being optimistic.
All of this.
The past few days, I found I could convince myself of either outcome.
I kept having to remind myself that it is the electoral college that matters.
I fear that neither party will concede on Nov. 6th, there will be court challenges galore, and nothing will be decided until January.
Popcorn is no solace.
I fear that neither party will concede on Nov. 6th
The 2020 election didn't get officially called until the Saturday after the election. I'm not expecting anything different this year.
(Okay, I am secretly hoping for a blue wave so overwhelming that I can just go to bed at 10 pm tomorrow night, regardless of whether Trump concedes, because fuck him. Candidates aren't legally required to concede anyway; if the loser doesn't officially concede/make a concession speech/whatever, it doesn't change anything about the outcome of the election or the winning candidate's plans moving forward.)
Pretty sure you also said this in 2020, fwiw.
May just be natural pessimism.
It feels hard to be optimistic. I do like "nauseously optimistic."
I’m avoiding polls. I’m off tomorrow, but I started a deep clean this weekend, so the plan is to continue that.
I don’t want to work on most days, but today few people are in and waves hands at world - I just feel it’s more and more ridiculous to expect solid consistent work from people.
I'm off tomorrow. I wish I was off Wed. Depending on how things go.
I will say that I haven't seen a lot of Trump signs out. Which doesn't mean people aren't going to vote for him but it doesn't seem that there is the enthusiasm for him like there was.
I haven't seen a lot of Harris signs either but that is expected.
Not just road signs but I haven't seen any trucks with Trump flags attached or things like that which I had seen in the last election.
Got lots of Trump signs here and flags and banners and a Humvee painted like an American flag with a big Trump sign, but this is a deep-red county where Trump won in 2020 by 38 points. There are a few Harris signs about too, though.
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I'm feeling optimistic and anxious.
The NYT poll shows that late deciding voters are breaking strong for Harris, and that she leads Trump in polling as being better for the middle class and less divisive and more likely to protect the Democracy show that she's gotten her messaging across.
Harris is winning among Independents, and Uncommitted voters.
The Selzer poll shows that Harris is pulling strong numbers from older white women, suburban and rural. Which bodes well for her picking up votes in red counties. Suburban white women were the reason Trump won in 2016.
Trump's campaign never tried to grow his base and he's all in on uneducated white males who are low propensity voters.
I've got a whole list of things that tilt towards Kamala. That said, I have been betrayed and disappointed by the American people before, and my bitterness with election shenanigans goes back to 2000.
However, even just taking the cynical/practical view of things, it seems clear that women are highly motivated by the Dobbs decision especially as they see women dying in parking lots. Women have a greater stake in this outcome than some 22 year old incel on the couch playing Fortnight.