I still want to know how Princeton Consortium has HRC's odds at >99%, while 538 has them at 65%. I know that Nate Silver has kind of lost it, but that's such a HUGE difference. (And I'm going with Princeton Consortium.)
PEC is probably a bit too dismissive of the possibility of a systemic polling error, but I'd still estimate we're quite a bit closer to his estimate than to 538's.
Which doesn't curb my anxiety about this election, because:
1. It should be a landslide. America needs Trump and his hate-based campaign to be buried in a landslide. I'm not a violent man, so I still prefer that to be a euphemism, but needs must.
2. The Senate needs to be a landslide. Otherwise, the Dems will just lose it again in two years' time.
3. The House, likewise, needs a seismic shift. (You know I care because I made sure the 'f' was in there before posting. YOU'RE WELCOME, AMERICA.)
And at present, I'm not sanguine that any of that will happen. Thus, anxiety.
Dana, I KNOW! I just about burst into hysterical laughter when she said you needed to do research.
Right? It's been a while since I've been condescended to so completely.
But really, I wish FB wouldn't show me that kind of stuff, where a friend has interacted with it, because then I get incensed by random strangers, and it's not like those arguments will ever really accomplish anything. Except, apparently, give me the chance to be passive-aggressive in that Southern way.
ITA with everything billytea said above. Why this is anything less than a landslide is a complete mystery to me.
Also, Comey needs to present his resignation immediately. His meddling is inexcusable.
More suburban wildlife. [link]
Same park, different type of critter.
Bet that critter can wipe out some foliage.
ITA, Dana. I just replied on a FOAF's post...Mengele did not pioneer abortion. I was too "Uh, NOPE!" to not engage. The man was straight up evil with extra hatesauce, but facts are facts.
I'm usually all do not engage on FOAF posts, but for some reason, I'm really cranky until the completely random date of 11/9.
I'm really cranky until the completely random date of 11/9.
Oh my word yes. I have been alternating between paralyzed and angry. I know it will go the right way, but I am so sick of my Trump friends and family. I can't look at them the same.
(You know I care because I made sure the 'f' was in there before posting. YOU'RE WELCOME, AMERICA.)
Hahahahh, thank you. They may also need a shit though.
I am having a hard time conceiving that I need to make plans for next weekend (I'm traveling) because getting past Tuesday seems crazy. I'm having folks over, so I'll at least be amongst friends.
I did get added to the pantsuit group and now it's my entire newsfeed. But I don't want to turn it off--hopefully no one has big important posts between now and Tuesday!
And the Virginia Democrats texted me, now! I'm like "Guys. I haven't lived there in FOURTEEN YEARS. I'm against purging the voter rolls too much, but Jesus..."
I just checked the voter registration database, and I'm still registered to vote in New Jersey. I've re-registered in two other states since the last time I lived there. I got a thing in the mail from the state of Pennsylvania telling me that they were taking me off the voting rolls, but I guess I never did anything to officially leave New Jersey -- didn't cancel any utilities, didn't have my mail forwarded, didn't do any of that, since my parents are still living there.
