Checking 538 is very satisfying. I like the NYT's even better because it lists a few sources. [link]
River: They weren't cows inside. They were waiting to be, but they forgot. Now they see the sky and they remember what they are. Mal: Is it bad that what she said made perfect sense to me?
'Safe'
Natter 74: Ready or Not
Off-topic discussion. Wanna talk about corsets, duct tape, butt kicking, or physics? This is the place. Detailed discussion of any current-season TV must be whitefonted.
Laura - Aug 02, 2016 10:56:52 am PDT #25508 of 30003
Our wings are not tired.
Connie Neil - Aug 02, 2016 10:57:28 am PDT #25509 of 30003
brillig
538 is on my favorites bar.
Steph L. - Aug 02, 2016 11:01:44 am PDT #25510 of 30003
this mess was yours / now your mess is mine
There was one poll source that I think billytea said he liked and I can't remember it. Anyone?
Fivethirtyeght's nowcast is HILARIOUS at this moment. I feel like it should be accompanied by the sad trombone sound.
Tom Scola - Aug 02, 2016 11:03:58 am PDT #25511 of 30003
Remember that the frontier of the Rebellion is everywhere. And even the smallest act of insurrection pushes our lines forward.
There was one poll source that I think billytea said he liked
Sam Wang's Princeton Election Consortium: [link]
Steph L. - Aug 02, 2016 11:04:25 am PDT #25512 of 30003
this mess was yours / now your mess is mine
Aha! Thanks!
SuziQ - Aug 02, 2016 11:05:43 am PDT #25513 of 30003
Back tattoos of the mother is that you are absolutely right - Ame
I like the NYT's even better because it lists a few sources. [link]
That is pretty. And all their sources point to Colorado staying blue. Oh, that would be so nice. I've called Colorado purple since I moved here, but they have voted blue again and again.
Laura - Aug 02, 2016 11:08:18 am PDT #25514 of 30003
Our wings are not tired.
That have both Florida and North Carolina blue at the moment which is very pleasing to the eye.
Steph L. - Aug 02, 2016 11:09:20 am PDT #25515 of 30003
this mess was yours / now your mess is mine
Ohio is blue (light blue, but still) on fivethirtyeight and Princeton, and yellow(?) on NYT (but still showing 59% Democratic).
It feels like there's too much time between now and the election.
lisah - Aug 02, 2016 11:19:12 am PDT #25516 of 30003
Punishingly Intricate
It feels like there's too much time between now and the election.
Ugh, seriously! I'm not sure I can take it and wish I had the self-control to stay offline for great chunks of the day but I don't.
Connie Neil - Aug 02, 2016 11:23:16 am PDT #25517 of 30003
brillig
I'm giving non-trivial odds that Trump will flame out somewhere in September or October, and the party will draft Cruz or Rubio or somebody, throwing everything out of kilter.