Lorne ,'Why We Fight'
Off-topic discussion. Wanna talk about corsets, duct tape, or physics? This is the place. Detailed discussion of any current-season TV must be whitefonted.
Oh thanks! I hadn't seen that one.
I think it's actually more statistically sound than 538 (which is nice, because it predicts a minuscule chance of a Romney win). However, Nate Silver's model has two advantages. It's less jittery where individual states are closer to a tipping point, and because he includes a wider array of variables in his model, it's much better for generating commentary.
And in my favorite bit of non-statistically rigorous polling: our local bakery's cookie poll still has Obama ahead (and has for the whole poll, IIRC): [link] The cookie poll has picked the winner correctly of every election they've been doing it.
I BELIEVE THE COOKIES.
(No, seriously, y'all: every day I check 538, the Princeton site, and the cookie poll site. For realsies.)
I'm with Steph--Five Thirty eight has been my happy place for a while, and then when billytea linked to the Princeton site I had two happy places.
COOKIE POLL. t edit Would tasty sugary baked goods lie?
Now I want a cookie. Dammit.
You didn't link to the cookie poll!
What was the Seinfeld line? Look to the cookie. Something like that.
As interminable as this election season has seemed, I still don't seem to have actually grasped that I have to go vote tomorrow. Don't forget, self!
You didn't link to the cookie poll!
You just have to scroll down a little bit, and it's on the left, with numbers of cookies sold.
all,
here is an interesting analysis of the presidential race and who will win from a UCSD faculty member. he seems to be making sense to me.
Also, why the fuck don't local candidates, you know, put their information up somewhere? I don't know who you are, small race person! I am not going to vote for you based on your yard sign and poster sized attack ads! What are your positions, man?