I know there is a polysci modeler who say otherwise, but I'm pretty sure the Rs will retain the House. The Dems may win the popular vote in the house races, though that is far from certain. But between the way Congressmembers are slightly overallocated to rural (read Republican) states in proportion to population and Republican redistricting in many states which put Democratic voters into as few districts as possible, it is highly unlikely for the Democrats to take back the House. With current districts they would need a blowout in the popular vote. And that is before we consider voter suppression. I would be happy but very very surprised if Democrats won the House.
Natter 70: Hookers and Blow
Off-topic discussion. Wanna talk about corsets, duct tape, or physics? This is the place. Detailed discussion of any current-season TV must be whitefonted.
I would be happy but very very surprised if Democrats won the House.
Agreed. The Dems look a lot better to keep the Senate, though. Current polling actually gives them a decent shot at increasing their margin.
I think the Dem's best hope in the House is that Obama has a shot at scoring a solid victory over Romney from here. The better the margin, the better his coattails. Still feels like a long shot though, especially with the Republican-dominated redistricting.
Nonetheless, even if the Repubs retain a majority, that doesn't have to mean financial disaster. If their margin is reduced (which it really should be) and if the Tea Party becomes somewhat marginalised, then I may not like the compromise they'll reach, but I would still expect them to reach it.
If the Republicans only manage a slight edge, they may find it harder to bulldoze things through. And there may be enough Republicans feeling vulnerable that they'll contemplate the dreaded C-word (compromise).
Anybody watching Parenthood this season? I'm finding myself wanting to mute the tv a lot more than last season. Is that just me, or other people, too?
Yeah, just wait until we invade you.
You do know I am landing on Election Day, right? (well, Weds in Australia, Election Afternoon in the US.) After my youngest nephew, AUS may never be the same again.
You do know I am landing on Election Day, right? (well, Weds in Australia, Election Afternoon in the US.) After my youngest nephew, AUS may never be the same again.
We have a different name for election day, we call it Melbourne Cup Day. You guys don't get your voting day off, but I do.
Thanks again for Birthday Wishes!
FTR, I think UK Coupling was hysterical. Ever since I have giggled every time I've heard the word "gusset."
Just in time -- Happy Birthday, Sue! I'm glad you had a relaxing day. All good wishes for the coming year.
Debet, I watched the first episode of the new season and deleted the season pass. Not because it's terrible, but it's not compelling enough to stay in my crowded TV watching schedule. I'm not sure what's different this year, but everyone/thing/(I'm not sure what I mean) kind of seems more petty somehow.
I didn't find UK Coupling as funny as I had been led to believe it would be, but it was really built up to me and I was probably in a not-receptive-to-relationship-comedy mood when I watched it, looking back.
Many happy returns, Sue!
I'm watching the second episode and it's less painful. Since I'm on Hulu, scheduling is less of an issue.