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Oh, man, the 4x100 relay was awesome.

Wow Cashmere, thanks for that.

There are some excellent Wisconsin politicos on Twitter. This clip is getting a lot of play and many retweets.

yes, I followed quite a few with the Scott Walker nonsense, but I think I deleted them from my followers list.

Oh, Ryan is an Ayn Rand fan.

Damn.

If it weren't for the dog (and, you know, money) I would totally do it. But I think we're going to have enough exhaustion here just getting the house and office back in shape before the tour gets here.

Anyway. I did find the dongle AND the usb cable (not the right cable, but it's okay, "universal" not just a clever name). And I got some cereal. And then I watched tv and missed a phone call from the SO. Rats.

But I'm tired, so bedtime for me. Farmer's market tomorrow and kayaking on Sunday.

Portman was a solid, conservative statesman. He is a HUGE republican fundraiser and has the respect of both parties in the house. He could have helped regain the trust of moderate republicans who voted for Obama.

Portman could have won Ohio for Mitt, easily. I was terrified he'd pick Portman, TBH.

Portman could have won Ohio for Mitt, easily. I was terrified he'd pick Portman, TBH.

Nate Silver ran some numbers on the possibility that various candidates could swing their home state for Romney. It was based on some speculative assumptions, though I think those assumptions overstated the chance if anything. He gave Portman a 6% chance of changing the Ohio result. Most important reason seems to be because he's still not well known even there - he gets 33% favourable, 25% unfavourable, and a rather substantial remainder of "no opinion".

Not sure about the Ryan pick. For all that his budget seems pretty deeply flawed, he's pretty much the only Republican who can claim to have taken a serious stab at it. I'm guessing many more voters know that he has a plan than know what's in it. I'm also guessing that the Obama campaign will be quite enthusiastic about bringing voters up to speed on that. It's not popular with independents, so I don't think Ryan helps Romney in the centre.

Presumably he's supposed to shore up the base, then. I guess he's popular with fiscal conservatives and hence Tea Partiers (though from Wikipedia's description of his plan, I'm not sure why - seems it raises taxes on most people and doesn't balance the budget for a couple of decades anyway). I wouldn't have thought that's the part of the base that Romney needs most help with though. I'd have thought that'd be the Religious Right, suspicious of his Mormonism, and the social conservatives, mistrusting his flip-flopping on their dogwhistle issues. I assume Ryan isn't a drag there, but I don't know why he's be a plus either.

Not that I think it'll make a huge difference either way. VP candidates usually don't, and Ryan doesn't really seem that remarkable in either direction to stand out. (And he stands even less chance than Portman of making a difference in his home state.)

His budget is a mess. Like it is not a serious budget at all. I'm not sure how his candidacy helps Romney except it might help bring the conservatives to the polls.

But this is I didn't get -- the conservatives hate Obama enough that they would probably have gone to the polls anyhow. BUT, it's true that Romney (not the current iteration) is really moderate so maybe they wouldn't have.

I fear politics this year.