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PANDEMIC
I think there's a slim chance. The CP could defuse Moscow, return to St. Petersburg and then One Quiet Night us to the Medic. The Medic can cure red. The Researcher can move to St. Petersburg and cure blue. Then the CP can get a black card from the Researcher and cure black. If none of the six infection cards we draw are New York, then we win. A lucky draw of a Forecast or Airlift event card could really help our odds. An epidemic ends the world, but there's a decent chance we don't draw it.
PANDEMIC
I don't think we even need to worry about Moscow, I don't think we've ever drawn it. That means the only way it gets hit is if we get a different outbreak (and we lose anyway) or an epidemic (and I'm pretty sure that'd kill us too).
I think of the cities on the brink, only New York could have a card near the top of the deck. All the others are already drawn or never drew a card in the first place. If we can defuse it, then I think we'll have time. Let me work this through:
CP:
Move to New York and cure a cube (No time for One Quiet Night then)
Medic:
Move to St Petersburg, cure Red
Researcher:
Move to St Petersburg, cure Blue, bounce to Atlanta
CP:
Move to Atlanta, grab last Black card, cure Black
We all go out for mimosas.
I
think
this will work unless we draw another epidemic. But if we do that, I think we're dead no matter what we try.
What do you think?
PANDEMIC
I'm a little nervous about adding three more infections, but the logic seems sound to me. Moscow is pretty likely to be too deep in the deck to show up.
PANDEMIC
Sounds like as good a plan as any:
Triple Move to New York
Treat New York once.
PANDEMIC
New York has been defused and the CP draws Essen(Blue) and an event card, Government Grant (lets you build a research station anywhere, anytime for 0 actions).
That leaves the CP with two extra cards.
[link]
PANDEMIC
Could lay down a research station in Istanbul (or Baghdad, whatever) and the Medic could move Istanbul, cure red, move Moscow, and clear Moscow.
I don't recall the infection discard file getting deeper than 16 cards and we'll go to 18 so cleaning up Moscow might be a good idea.
PANDEMIC
Sure, I'm down with that.
PANDEMIC
I think that will give us a straight-up 67% chance of winning.
PANDEMIC
Gud, I just noticed - you've only got 5 Blue, you'd have to burn the Atlanta card for the cure. I'll build a Research Station in Paris so you can cure, then join me in New York.
ETA:
That's a suggestion, not an order, since it's not bold.
PANDEMIC
I'm good for curing blue, I can reach St. Petersburg in two actions, cure blue at the research station there and move station to station to Atlanta.
