Sheesh, the baseball odds are tricky for tomorrow. From Baseball Prospectus:

The East division title odds are now basically 50-50, with a very slight edge to the Phils: 50.4 for them, 49.6 for the Mets. The wild card chance is 3.4% for each of them. Total playoff chance 53.8 Philly, 52.9 New York. The chance of a playoff game is 53.2%.

That was before the Rockies won and the Padres lost. Then...

Looks like the Diamondbacks took it easy after clinching earlier in the day, as Colorado rolled to a 11-1 win. That win keeps the possibility of a four-team tie, and it happens in 12.5% of the simulations - a 1 in 8 shot. There is now a 40% chance that a wild card playoff game will be needed, and a 20% chance that 3 or 4 teams will be involved. The Padres’ odds dropped to 75% on the result, with Colorado moving up to 12.8% and the Mets and Phillies even at 5.9%.

That 5.9% for the Mets or Phils is for the Wild Card. One of them will win the East, but it's very unlikely one of them will sneak in as the Wild Card.

There will very likely need to be a tie breaker playoff game. Those numbers are based on computer simulations running each scenario something like a million times.

I've been to one 40th, I think.

Two, since you were at mine.

I think.

Know why I wouldn't remember something like that? I mean, aside from the part where my memory sucks? Because it wasn't all OMG 40!!!!! Don't you just love me????? like this cousin's was.

I dunno. I'll hop on a plane to surprise my father at his 70th without thinking three times, but I can't see me ever having a birthday that needs fussing over.

well, the whole just got back from Kenya that day thing might have had something to do with it too.

Sadly, I don't like wine.

And for some reason I suspect Jesus would be kind of a buzzkill. In a nice way and all, but still.

I am waiting for Daniel to call to say that the opera he's at is over and he wants me to pick him up at the metro. Then I can have some rum. I mean, after I have picked him up. And maybe a massage.

Oo, and writing that made him call. Yay.

Hubby just had an interesting thought. There's a show about deaf people on in the background, and he suddenly wondered if deaf people have the same appreciation of poetry as hearing people, in regards to meter and rhyme and such. Does anyone have any idea?

Skipping to post that, according to the Buffista Calendar, today is Alibelle's birthday.

Happy birthday, Alibelle! With lots of wishes for a great day and a wonderful year (and for being in Natter on time for seeing the those wishes, too).

he suddenly wondered if deaf people have the same appreciation of poetry as hearing people, in regards to meter and rhyme and such. Does anyone have any idea?

Yeah I've wondered that as well. But what about music too?

Oh and my tummy totally hates me. Thank you Katie's Ice Cream and Quiznos. Please rot in hell. Sincerely Steve

PS Did I just use the word "tummy" at 29 years of age?

I don't know about deaf poetry (as opposed to def) but I do know that YouTube and other video-sharing sites have been adopted by the deaf community as a means of sending video 'mail' and performances (storytelling, personal essays, sermons, etc.). It's like a dance with hands, which would be hard to translate to the written word, yet would have its own rhythm, figurative allusions, 'rhymes' and 'puns' in similar gestures.

I've been to one 40th, I think. It was an extravagant bash, with most parties flying in to New York and participating in a weekend of activities that ended with a huge party somewhere I don't even recal

Actually 3 because you were also at Lori's last year.