Mal: How drunk was I last night? Jayne: Well I dunno. I passed out.

'Our Mrs. Reynolds'


Natter .38 Special  

Off-topic discussion. Wanna talk about corsets, duct tape, or physics? This is the place. Detailed discussion of any current-season TV must be whitefonted.


Rick - Aug 23, 2005 6:25:11 pm PDT #731 of 10002

Still, his project--trying to prove the existence of God using all of the universe as the data to be explained (e.g., what is the probability of there being a universe given an all-loving, all-powerful God)--must look quite weird from a scientist's point of view.

Yes, it's a BIG project in a way that most science is not. Most scientists have to accept that their career will be spent in a sort of professional myopia-always focused on the next little step. I think it was Goethe who said that "the scientist must live as though he is going to be 300 years old." By contrast philosopy and mathematics are BIG and can focus on the horizon.


Rick - Aug 23, 2005 6:29:35 pm PDT #732 of 10002

I'm a little rusty with my probability, but does the probability of there being a universe given an all-loving, all-powerful God have anything to do with the probability of an all-loving, all-powerful God given the existence of the universe?

If you know the marginals (the unconditional probability of a universe and the unconditional probability of an all-loving, all-powerful God) then the relationship between Tommy's two probabilities can be found through the Bayesian techniques used by Swinburne. If you don't know the marginals then you can't answer the question.


billytea - Aug 23, 2005 6:30:30 pm PDT #733 of 10002
You were a wrong baby who grew up wrong. The wrong kind of wrong. It's better you hear it from a friend.

I'm a little rusty with my probability, but does the probability of there being a universe given an all-loving, all-powerful God have anything to do with the probability of an all-loving, all-powerful God given the existence of the universe?

I think I would argue no, as I think your first conditional probability is 1. (That is, an ALAPG would necessarily have both the desire and power to create a Universe, to spread his beneficence.) If it is 1 regardless of the value of the second conditional probability, they'll be independent in the statistical sense.


tommyrot - Aug 23, 2005 6:30:51 pm PDT #734 of 10002
Sir, it's not an offence to let your cat eat your bacon. Okay? And we don't arrest cats, I'm very sorry.

If you know the marginals (the unconditional probability of a universe and the unconditional probability of an all-loving, all-powerful God) then the relationship between Tommy's two probabilities can be found through the Bayesian techniques used by Swinburne.

OK, that rings a bell.


Bob Bob - Aug 23, 2005 7:08:42 pm PDT #735 of 10002

I think I would argue no, as I think your first conditional probability is 1. (That is, an ALAPG would necessarily have both the desire and power to create a Universe, to spread his beneficence.)

1 is certainly a plausible value to assign, although one could argue that God doesn't necessarily create the universe, since some theists argue he has the freedom to refrain from doing so. (I don't know if Swinburne takes this line. My guess is that he thinks that God doesn't have freedom at all, since for Swinburne one has freedom, roughly, only if one must choose between one's self-interest and the moral course of action. Since God always does the morally best, then in any world in which he exists, he creates a universe.)

Admittedly, you didn't say that God necessarily creates the universe, but necessarily has the desire to creat the universe, which is a different claim, though it might, in God's case, amount to the same thing.


billytea - Aug 23, 2005 7:22:23 pm PDT #736 of 10002
You were a wrong baby who grew up wrong. The wrong kind of wrong. It's better you hear it from a friend.

1 is certainly a plausible value to assign, although one could argue that God doesn't necessarily create the universe, since some theists argue he has the freedom to refrain from doing so.

Yes, but in this context, it equates to saying that he has the freedom not to be all-loving. Which may be theologically of interest, but would offend against one of our premises here were he ever to make that choice. (One might argue that God needs both the ability to choose not to do good and the desire always to choose good in order to be considered as all-loving rather than just mechanical, but he still winds up doing good.)

So, God may not necessarily create the universe, but an all-loving God does.


§ ita § - Aug 23, 2005 7:26:23 pm PDT #737 of 10002
Well not canonically, no, but this is transformative fiction.

I don't see why an all-loving all-powerful god needs a universe. Can't he just love his navel?


Kat - Aug 23, 2005 7:28:34 pm PDT #738 of 10002
"I keep to a strict diet of ill-advised enthusiasm and heartfelt regret." Leigh Bardugo

So tempted to say, "What if his navel were the universe?"

But instead, I'll look at the pretty pink corduroy jacket I'll never own from title nine.

fixed my grammar error. stupid subjunctive.


billytea - Aug 23, 2005 7:29:23 pm PDT #739 of 10002
You were a wrong baby who grew up wrong. The wrong kind of wrong. It's better you hear it from a friend.

I don't see why an all-loving all-powerful god needs a universe. Can't he just love his navel?

Um, no, that would make him an all-selfish god.


Cass - Aug 23, 2005 7:29:37 pm PDT #740 of 10002
Bob's learned to live with tragedy, but he knows that this tragedy is one that won't ever leave him or get better.

I wonder/suspect with an ALAP that we are the universe in his navel.

Mooooooom, Kat's in my brain again.