I think Gary Oldman has that category in the bag. He's good and a dominating force in The Darkest Hour and the Academy loves biopics. Phantom Thread is more of a three-header, plus DDL already has like 3 Best Actor Oscars at home. :) That said, upsets are always possible. I would place my odds at something like 80% Oldman, 10% Timonthee Chalamet, and 10% DDL. I don't think there is any chance that Daniel Kaluuya or Denzel would cause an upset.

The more I think of it, the more I'm astounded by how many noms Phantom Thread got. It's such a weird film. I guess it does have all the surface trappings of a prestige pic.

It had a feel that kind of reminded me of Shadowlands. If C.S. Lewis were a fussbudget dressmaker and Joy Davidman had won his heart by poisoning him instead of coming down with cancer herself, I guess.

One of my friends sent me a tweet from somebody who thinks that Matt Casey should be cast as Nightwing, I think if you're going to cast a Matt as Nightwing it should be Bomer. Although both actors might be too old for the part. Who would you cast?

I wouldn't believe anyone who wasn't a trained acrobat or gymnast in the role.

That's why I thought Bomer.

Tom Holland has the skills, but doesn't look like Nightwing to me.

(Relatedly, in the current Nightwing comic, he is undercover as an exotic dancer. FOR REAL. So fanfic eventually becomes canon if you wait long enough.)

Agree, Tep. He's too wee and delicate for Nightwing. And he doesn't have the right bottom.

I volunteer to test Matt Bomer's flexibility.

Totally.

Apparently Dick Grayson is being played by Brenton Thwaites in the upcoming Titans series. I'm not familiar with him at all.