So, watched the last few minutes of Alias tonight.
Where, as Paul and I both noticed, they
invaded Fisher Plaza! (Where Paul worked until last year.)
Paul was all,
"Hey! That's my old rooftop! Hey! I've been in that stairwell!"
Those were the
sat dishes he controlled!
Doesn't that still come out to twenty?
No, then it comes out to the value of n such that 0.975^n = 0.5. There are logs involved. It's a thing.
Right, but it isn't independent trials. Can we really regard it that way?
If there are, say, 40,000,000 tickets, then it's effectively independent. If it's 4,000 it's probably close enough. It'd have to be a very small lottery for it to be materially different from independent.
So, each different lottery ticket is like an entry in a totally different lottery?
Em turns a year in a week and a half.
Holy crap.
Hey Rio! How's the bod? (Was it your hip, with the moving machine and the whatnot?) Did you answer that already and I skimmed by?
Since TV Guide changed their format I haven't seen them in checkout lines. Have other people noticed this, or is it just where I shop?
So, each different lottery ticket is like an entry in a totally different lottery?
Well, enough like it to treat it that way. If you have 40,000,000 tickets and 1,000,000 winners, then whether or not ticket A is a winner does almost nothing to the probability that ticket B is a winner.
HI JESSE!!!!
I'm getting better but frankly I am sick of talking about my ailing body. How are you, bebe?
I am tired for no good reason, stressed out about school, and hate my job. But actually, I'm great!
I went and saw Colbert tape tonight, which was very funny.
DH is reading his copy of Contingencies. Why, yes, actuaries have their own magazine. It's filled with some interesting tidbits he shared.
1. An Association for Insurance Commissioners was set to have a conference in September. In New Orleans. They opted to cancel it.
2. The Microsoft ad with the Crime Fighting Actuary Who Always Gets the Girl was mentioned.
3. There's a math puzzle at the back.