So pleased that Brent was COMMed, because the Things What Come Out of Brent's Mouth are endlessly amusing.
Natter .38 Special
Off-topic discussion. Wanna talk about corsets, duct tape, or physics? This is the place. Detailed discussion of any current-season TV must be whitefonted.
It was the kind of thing Coach would've said on Cheers.
If I have 10 & you have 5, the next 1 means more to you - basically. But if I need 20 to feed my family, Oxfam doesn't get that found buck. My whole entire OVERINSPECTED snark was based on the local variability of that 20, Jesse.
Surely that's clear by now.
La Femme Nikita
Oh, OK, no. I never saw LFN. No reason I'd know the acronym. Well, what a relief.
OVERINSPECTED
The horror!!
;)
The horror!!
Well, it's not like my same point doesn't stand a million posts later.
But your point is still not THE point.
Oddly enough, I never claimed it was.
Wait, that's not odd at all, considering I never believed it was.
In @@ news, I just saw an ad for the new Doppler 2 MILLION.
Again, don't take these numbers to be exact. They're just guesses that he argues for in his book, but Swinburne will admit that there are perfectly good arguments for coming up different probability estimates that will lead to a different outcome.
This is the sort of thing that always makes me happy that I am a scientist rather than a philosopher. The Bayesian approach is very powerful if you can put in some prior probabilities, collect some data, and then revise the probability estimates based on the fit of your model to the data. After several iterations you can arrive at an efficient and accurate answer. But if there are no data-based iterations? If you start and end the process with your own assumptions, which are of unknown quality? I just don’t understand what has been accomplished. I love the simple-minded empiricism of the scientific method. It allows you to bumble your way to a pretty good answer even if you start off with stupid ideas. That’s a useful quality for someone like me, who never has a shortage of stupid ideas.